San Francisco Chronicle: Pandemic baby bust unprecedented in Bay Area, California history

San Francisco Chronicle: Pandemic baby bust unprecedented in Bay Area, California history. “U.S. residents are having fewer babies this year. And California’s birth rates in January and February — around the time when early pandemic babies would be due — declined by 15% compared to the same period last year, the steepest year-over-year decline for those months since at least 1960, according to a Chronicle analysis. We used data from California’s Health and Human Services department, which collects monthly birth totals per county. We found that the state’s births declined from nearly 70,000 in the first two months of 2020 to fewer than 59,000 in the same period in 2021.”

Route Fifty: Here Comes the Covid-19 Baby Bust

Route Fifty: Here Comes the Covid-19 Baby Bust. “The resulting decline in births, whenever it kicks in, could be quite large. In June, the economists Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine projected that 300,000 to 500,000 fewer babies might be born in 2021 than there would have been otherwise. ‘We see no reason to think that our estimate was too large at this point,’ Kearney told me five months after the analysis was published. ‘In fact, given the ongoing stress for current parents associated with school closures, the effect might even be larger than what we predicted.’”